武器系统使用可用性评估模型及应用

  目的  针对现有的舰船战备完好性评估方法已无法满足海军任务保障需求这一问题，提出基于云模型的新型评估方法。  方法  首先，在指标确定过程中，基于合作博弈权重方法，将层次分析法、熵权法和灰色关联度法所计算的权重进行合作博弈，从而拟合得到组合定权重，并引入变权重理论对定权重进行修正优化；然后，引入云模型理论，利用云相似度替代隶属度，设计基于云模型的模糊综合评估模型；最后，以舰船对空防御任务为例，评估舰船战备完好性。
  结果  仿真结果表明：变权重模式下，基于云模型的模糊综合评估结果可以更准确地反映实船战备状态。  结论  研究成果可为舰船战备完好性评估提供参考。

The evaluation model of weapon system operational availability and its application

  Objective  Aiming at the problem that existing ship combat readiness assessment methods cannot meet the needs of naval mission support, a ship combat readiness assessment method based on cloud model theory is proposed.  Methods  First, in the process of determining the index, based on the cooperative game weight method, the weights calculated by the analytic hierarchy process, entropy weight method and grey correlation method are used for the cooperative game in order to fit the combined fixed weight, and variable weight theory is introduced to modify and optimize the fixed weight. The cloud model theory is then introduced, and a fuzzy comprehensive assessment model based on the cloud model is designed using cloud similarity instead of membership degree.
Finally, taking air defense tasks as an example, the combat readiness of the ship is assessed.   Results  The simulation results show that under the variable weight mode, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation results based on the cloud model can more accurately reflect the combat readiness of real ships.   Conclusion  The results of this study can provide references for ship combat readiness assessment.