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基于Monte Carlo法的山区路网应急中心选址
引用本文:宋永朝,韩伟,梁乃兴,潘晓东,焦建华. 基于Monte Carlo法的山区路网应急中心选址[J]. 重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 30(3): 424-428
作者姓名:宋永朝  韩伟  梁乃兴  潘晓东  焦建华
作者单位:1. 重庆交通大学交通运输学院,重庆,400074
2. 云南石锁高速公路有限公司,云南昆明,650217
3. 重庆交通大学土木建筑学院,重庆,400074
4. 同济大学交通运输工程学院,上海,201804
5. 中交第一公路勘察设计院,陕西西安,710065
基金项目:国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)资助项目,交通运输部西部交通建设科技资助项目
摘    要:阐述了灾时山区路网各路段组成单元通行概率的分析方法,采用Monte Carlo模拟法对山区路网连通可靠度进行分析和计算,并通过概率解析法来检验Monte Carlo模拟法的计算精度.采用Monte Carlo模拟法分析路网节点间连通可靠度,提出了灾时山区路网应急救护中心优化选址方法.最后,通过实例阐述其计算过程.结果表...

关 键 词:交通工程  蒙特卡罗  山区路网  连通可靠度  应急中心

Study on Location of Emergency Rescue Center for Mountainous Road NetworkBased on Monte Carlo Method
SONG Yong-chao,HAN Wei,LIANG Nai-xing,PAN Xiao-dong,JIAO Jian-hua. Study on Location of Emergency Rescue Center for Mountainous Road NetworkBased on Monte Carlo Method[J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University, 2011, 30(3): 424-428
Authors:SONG Yong-chao  HAN Wei  LIANG Nai-xing  PAN Xiao-dong  JIAO Jian-hua
Affiliation:1.School of Transportation Engineering,Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing 400074,China;2.Yunnan Shisuo Expressway Co.,Ltd.,Kunming 650217,Yunnan,China;3.School of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing 400074,China;4.School of Transportation Engineering Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China;5.First Highway Consultants Co.,Ltd.,(FHCC),Xi’an 710065,Shaanxi,China)
Abstract:Some analysis methods for the access probability of the mountainous road network component units were illuminated when disasters occurred.Monte Carlo simulation was applied to analyzing and calculating mountainous road network connectivity reliability.The calculation precision of Monte Carlo simulation was tested by probability analytic method.A optimization means for selecting the location of the emergency rescue center was provided by Monte Carlo simulation.Finally,calculated process was illustrated through numerical example.Results showed that some weak links of mountainous road network for connectivity could be obtained by Monte Carlo simulation.Selecting the optimum location for the emergency rescue center was of significance when disasters occurred.
Keywords:traffic engineering  Monte Carlo  mountainous road network  connectivity reliability  emergency rescue center
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