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新冠疫情对居民休闲出行影响研究
引用本文:石京,龙昱茜.新冠疫情对居民休闲出行影响研究[J].中国公路学报,2022,35(1):238-251.
作者姓名:石京  龙昱茜
作者单位:清华大学土木工程系, 北京 100084
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51778340)
摘    要:为了就新冠疫情对疫情结束后居民休闲出行的影响展开调查研究,把握疫情后居民休闲出行偏好的变化,分析休闲出行意愿的影响因素和影响机制,并量化分析各因素的影响,基于计划行为理论和收益-风险分析构建结构方程模型,量化感知风险、感知正效用、出行态度、主观规范、感知行为控制等影响因素与疫情后休闲出行意愿的相互影响机制,并利用单因素...

关 键 词:交通工程  休闲出行  结构方程模型  影响机制  计划行为理论  收益-风险分析  新型冠状病毒肺炎
收稿时间:2020-10-20

Research on the Impacts of the COVID-19 on Individual's Leisure Travel
SHI Jing,LONG Yu-xi.Research on the Impacts of the COVID-19 on Individual's Leisure Travel[J].China Journal of Highway and Transport,2022,35(1):238-251.
Authors:SHI Jing  LONG Yu-xi
Institution:Department of Civil Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
Abstract:This paper aims to study the impacts of the COVID-19 on individual's leisure travel preference, the influencing factors of leisure travel intention, and the influencing mechanism. A structural equation model based on the theory of planned behavior and benefit-risk analysis was carried out to study the influencing mechanism. The influencing mechanism of individual's perceived risks, perceived benefits, travel attitude, subjective norms, perceived behavior control, and leisure travel intention after the COVID-19 was analyzed. The impacts of individual's genders, age groups, and income levels were also excavated by One-Way ANOVA analysis and independent t-test. The fitting result of the structural equation model was acceptable (CMIN/DF is 1.902<3.000, RMSEA is 0.047<0.080). Results show that the perceived behavior control (0.391), attitude (0.608) and perceived benefits (0.296) have a direct positive effect on leisure travel intention. Subjective norms (0.621) have an indirect positive impact on leisure travel intention. Perceived risks (-0.081) have an indirect negative impact on leisure travel intention. The COVID-19 has a significant impact on individual's leisure travel preferences and characteristics. Road trips with family members will become more popular. The COVID-19 has a greater impact on people whose age is under 26 or between 41-50 years old, whose job is relatively unstable and have low-income. Those people perceive lower travel utility and higher obstacles, and have lower leisure travel intention. The result of this study can provide necessary data support for the recovery of tourism.
Keywords:traffic engineering  leisure travel  structural equation model  influencing mechanism  theory of planned behavior  benefit-risk analysis  the COVID-19  
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