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环境规划中SO2排放总量预测方法研究
引用本文:张海兵,彭大兰,刘秀华,汪平,王慧觉. 环境规划中SO2排放总量预测方法研究[J]. 武汉理工大学学报(交通科学与工程版), 2009, 33(4): 803-806. DOI: 10.3963/j.issn.1006-2823.2009.04.050
作者姓名:张海兵  彭大兰  刘秀华  汪平  王慧觉
作者单位:1. 天津大学管理学院,天津,300000
2. 武汉理工大学资源与环境工程学院,武汉,430070
3. 黄石市环保局信息中心,黄石,435000
4. 黄石市环境保护局,黄石,435000
基金项目:黄石市环保局科研基金 
摘    要:大气环境规划中对SO2排放总量的预测,由于数据资料不全,方法不成熟等原因,资源与环境工程其预测成为环境界多年来的难胚之一.文中以某市环境规划中SO2排放总量预测为例,综合研究目前地方环保局常采用的行业系数法、企业系数法、项目增减法及还未广泛采用的多元线性回归法和灰色模型法,分析比较这5种预测方法的优缺点,并对这5种方法的预测结果进行可信度检验,得出灰色模型法是相对所需数据最少、计算最为简单、预测精度最高的方法的结论.

关 键 词:厌色模型  多元线性回归

Approaches to Efficient Forecast of Total Emission of SO_2 in Environmental Planning
Zhang Haibing,Peng Dalan,Liu Xiuhua,Wang Ping,Wang Huijue. Approaches to Efficient Forecast of Total Emission of SO_2 in Environmental Planning[J]. journal of wuhan university of technology(transportation science&engineering), 2009, 33(4): 803-806. DOI: 10.3963/j.issn.1006-2823.2009.04.050
Authors:Zhang Haibing  Peng Dalan  Liu Xiuhua  Wang Ping  Wang Huijue
Affiliation:School of Management;Tianjin University;Tianjin 300000;School of Resources and Environmental Engineering;Wuhan University of Technology;Wuhan 430070;Huangshi Environmental Protection Bureau Information Center;Huangshi 435000;Huangshi Environmental Protection Bureau;Huangshi 435000
Abstract:In planning of air protection,it is difficult to forecast the total emission of SO2 because of the deficiency of date and immaturity of methods etc.It has been one of the difficult problems of environmental domain.Taking the environmental planning of certain city as an example,this paper studies three methods(trade coefficient method,enterprise coefficient method,and method of project change in number) which were used generously in local environmental protection bureau,and tries to predict the total emissio...
Keywords:SO2
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