| 基于时间序列法的舰船运动预报实验研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张兮龙,叶家玮,魏栋. 基于时间序列法的舰船运动预报实验研究[J]. 船海工程, 2008, 37(6) |
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| 作者姓名： | 张兮龙 叶家玮 魏栋 |
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| 作者单位： | 华南理工大学,交通学院,广州,510640 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用线性自回归AR模型、具有首前波观测量的ARMA模型以及非线性自回归NAR模型三种方法分别对舰船运动进行预报,将得到的预报结果与实验测量结果进行验证比较,并对最佳预报模式进行讨论.
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| 关 键 词： | 时间序列法 舰船运动 预报模型 |
Research on the Prediction of the Ship Motion Using Time-Series Analysis |
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| ZHANG Xi-long,YE Jia-wei,WEI Dong. Research on the Prediction of the Ship Motion Using Time-Series Analysis[J]. Ship &Ocean Engineering, 2008, 37(6) |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Xi-long YE Jia-wei WEI Dong |
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| Affiliation: | ZHANG Xi-long,YE Jia-wei,WEI Dong (School of Traffic , Communication,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510640,China) |
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| Abstract: | The auto-regressive(AR) model,the ARMA model with the history of the wave elevation ahead of bow and the nonlinear auto-regressive(NAR) model were applied respectively to predict the ship motions,and the numerical simulations were examined against the experimental results.3 prediction models of ship motion were analyzed to get the best one. |
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| Keywords: | time-series analysis ship motion prediction model |
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