城轨交通车站换乘运营安全研究

换乘站是城市轨道交通系统中的关键网络节点，设备设施故障、客流拥堵、运营秩序的紊乱、突发事件等方面都会给车站运营安全带来不利影响。文章分析了车站换乘方式的安全风险要素，着重从车站客流与设施能力动态匹配的角度出发，研究了车站换乘方案分析方法，提出了基于流量平衡原理的换乘设施上的客流动态推算方法，利用该方法，结合实例进行了该车站换乘方案的安全分析与计算，并进一步分析了解决途径。

Study on Operation Safety at Urban Rail Transit Interchange Station

This paper analyzes the safety and risk elements in interchange modes at stations, focuses on issues from the angle of views of dynamically matching of station passenger flow and facilities capacity, studies the station interchange program analysis methods and puts forward projection methodology for dynamic passenger traffic flows based on the principles of flow balance with interchange facilities. By using this method, with examples of safety analysis and calculation of station interchange programs, the paper further analyzes some ways to solve the problems.