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公路交通量预测可靠性问题研究
引用本文:彭利人,王树东,冯艳春. 公路交通量预测可靠性问题研究[J]. 交通标准化, 2008, 0(8): 119-122. DOI: 10.3869/j.issn.1002-4786.2008.08.006
作者姓名:彭利人  王树东  冯艳春
作者单位:中国公路工程咨询集团有限公司,北京,100029;北京中咨正达交通工程科技有限公司,北京100029;内蒙古自治区交通培训中心,内蒙,呼和浩特,010020;北京国道通公路设计研究院,北京,100053
摘    要:公路交通量的预测,是项目建设规模决策、技术标准选用以及经济效益评估的重要前提。结合工作实际,对公路交通量预测可靠性问题进行探讨,并分析其产生的原因,从而提出一些建议,对公路交通量的预测大有裨益.

关 键 词:公路  交通量  预测方法  可靠性

Research on Reliability of Highway Traffic Volume Prediction
PENG Li-ren,WANG Shu-dong,FENG Yan-chun. Research on Reliability of Highway Traffic Volume Prediction[J]. Communications Standardization, 2008, 0(8): 119-122. DOI: 10.3869/j.issn.1002-4786.2008.08.006
Authors:PENG Li-ren  WANG Shu-dong  FENG Yan-chun
Affiliation:PENG Li-ren, WANG Shu-dong, FENG Yan-chun (1.China Highway Engineering Consulting Group Co., Ltd., Beijing 100097, China; 2.Beijing ZZZD Traffic Engineering Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing 100029, China; 3.Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Comunication Training Center, Hohhot 010020, China; 4.Beijing Guodaotong Highway Design & Research Institute, Beijing 100053, China)
Abstract:The prediction of highway traffic volume is the important prerequisite for the decision-making of highway scale, the selection of technology standard and the evaluation of economy benefit. Based on the work experience, the paper discusses the reliability of highway traffic volume prediction, and analyzes the causes. Thus some suggestions are put forward, which are beneficial for the highway traffic volume prediction.
Keywords:highway  traffic volume  predict method  reliability
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