| 指数平滑法在路面使用性能预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 王昌衡,鲍亮亮.指数平滑法在路面使用性能预测中的应用[J].西部交通科技,2008(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 王昌衡 鲍亮亮 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南大学,湖南,长沙,410082 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章分析了路面使用性能的发展规律及其特点,指出了传统预测方法的不足,介绍采用指数平滑法来提高预测精度,可解决我国路面使用性能预测模型,预测精度不高的问题。
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| 关 键 词： | 路面使用性能 指数平滑 传统预测方法 预测精度 |
Application of Exponential Smoothing Method in Forecasting the Pavement Performance |
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| WANG Chang-heng,BAO Liang-liang.Application of Exponential Smoothing Method in Forecasting the Pavement Performance[J].Western China Communication Science & Technology,2008(3). |
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| Authors: | WANG Chang-heng BAO Liang-liang |
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| Abstract: | After analyzing the development rule and character of pavement performance,the Paper pointed out the disadvantages of traditional forecast method and recommended the exponential smoothing method that can improve the forecast precision.Such method will resolve the problems existing in our country such as the lack of forecast model for pavement performance and the poor forecast precision. |
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| Keywords: | Pavement performance Exponential smoothing Traditional forecast method Forecast precision |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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