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基于决策过程的停车换乘行为研究
引用本文:秦焕美,;关宏志,;龙雪琴.基于决策过程的停车换乘行为研究[J].武汉水运工程学院学报,2014(5):1002-1005.
作者姓名:秦焕美  ;关宏志  ;龙雪琴
作者单位:[1]北京工业大学交通工程北京市重点实验室,北京100124; [2]长安大学公路学院,西安710064
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(批准号:51308016);“973”国家重点基础研究发展计划项目(批准号:2012CB725403)资助
摘    要:文中从决策过程分析的角度出发,利用决策过程分析理论,采用计算机仿真的方法,分析了多方式选择情景下的停车换乘行为.通过一次选择决策行为分析得出,出行者存在多方式选择权衡比较、偏好反转等决策现象,通过分析决策阈值、初始偏好对停车换乘选择行为的影响得出,采取一定的措施,如为出行者提供停车换乘设施信息服务、通过免费换乘减少对小汽车的依赖性等,将会影响出行者的决策行为过程而使其转向停车换乘出行.

关 键 词:停车换乘  决策过程  偏好  决策阈值  初始偏好

Study on the Park and Ride Behavior Based on Decision Process
Institution:QIN Huanmei,GUAN Hongzhi,LONG Xueqin(1.Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology , Beijing 100124, China;2.School of Highway, Chang'an University, Xi' an 710064, China )
Abstract:In order to improve the facility utilization,this paper has analyzed park and ride behavior under multimode choice scenarios from the view of decision process.The analysis is based on the decision process theory and used computer simulation.By the analysis of one preference accumulative process of decision behavior,it is shown that there exist the tradeoff and comparison,preference reversal for multimode choice in the decision process.Then the effect of deliberation threshold and initial preference on park and ride choice behavior is discussed.The results show that some measures,such as providing park and ride facilities information service for travelers,reducing car dependence through a free transfer,will influence the decision process of travelers and make them to use park and ride facility.
Keywords:park and ride  decision process  preference  deliberation threshold  initial preference
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