2000年国内外环境与水运的相关关系

本文应用计量经济学方法,首先对国内外环境与运输的大量参数进行相关分析,寻求出与各运输方式密切相关的主要因素,然后通过回归分析,建立了交通体系的计量经济模型,最后按国民经济预期达到的若干主要参数,预测2000年水运运量及港口吞吐量。

The Correlation of the Internal and External Environment to the Water Transport in 2000

The correlation of the internal and external environment with a large number of transport parameter is analysed by the method of econometrics. Through this process, the main factors which have close relations with various transport ways are sought. After the regression analysis, the econometric model of the conmunication system is established. At last, on the basis of the expected figures of the main national economy parameters, the transport quantity of the water transport and the coastal port's cargo throughput in 2000 are forecast.