| 一种随机数学方法预测隧道涌突水量研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 罗敏,许模,任蕊.一种随机数学方法预测隧道涌突水量研究[J].现代隧道技术,2010,47(5). |
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| 作者姓名： | 罗敏 许模 任蕊 |
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| 作者单位： | 成都理工大学地质灾害防治与地质环境保护国家重点实验室; |
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| 摘 要： | 涌突水灾害是隧道工程中常见的灾害,准确预测涌水量的大小对于保证隧道施工、降低隧道施工风险具有重要意义.通过实例研究,分别利用理论计算法和层次分析一模糊综合评判方法预测隧道涌水量.与实际发生的涌水量对比,理论计算法操作简单,但预测不够准确.随机数学方法考虑影响隧道涌突水多方面因素,并用权重来控制各因素对隧道涌突水的影响程度,预测结果和实际发生的涌突水能较好地吻合.由此证明了层次分析一模糊综合评判方法的适用性.
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| 关 键 词： | 隧道 涌突水 预测方法 |
A Random Mathematical Method for Forecasting Tunnel Water Gushing |
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| Luo Min,Xu Mo,Ren Rui.A Random Mathematical Method for Forecasting Tunnel Water Gushing[J].Modern Tunnelling Technology,2010,47(5). |
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| Authors: | Luo Min Xu Mo Ren Rui |
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| Institution: | Luo Min Xu Mo Ren Rui(Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059) |
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| Abstract: | Water-gushing is the most general disaster in tunnel engineering.To ensure tunnel construction safety and reduce the risks in tunnel construction,it is meaningful to forecast water gushing accurately.Through cases studies,theoretical calculation method and AHP-FUZZY method were used to predict tunnel water-gushing respectively.Compared the results with the actual gushing yields,theoretical calculation method was simple,but not very accurate.AHP-FUZZY method considered many factors which affect tunnel water-... |
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| Keywords: | Tunnel Water-gushing Method of prediction |
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