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基于生命周期理论的我国收费公路发展分析
引用本文:张军.基于生命周期理论的我国收费公路发展分析[J].交通科技,2011(1):87-89.
作者姓名:张军
作者单位:河南省交通科学技术研究院有限公司,郑州,450006
基金项目:河南省政府决策研究招标课题
摘    要:收费公路类似自然生命,其成长和发展必然为一个具有若干阶段的连续过程.基于生命周期理论,对我国收费公路体系生命周期进行了探讨和分析.结果表明,2000年以后,我国收费公路进入成熟期;在2030年达到峰值后,收费公路在总量上开始缩减,进入衰退期,新的发展趋势也将逐渐体现.

关 键 词:生命周期  收费公路  发展趋势

Analysis on the Development of Toll Road Based on Life Cycle Theory in China
Zhang Jun.Analysis on the Development of Toll Road Based on Life Cycle Theory in China[J].Transportation Science & Technology,2011(1):87-89.
Authors:Zhang Jun
Institution:Zhang Jun(Henan Transportation Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Zhengzhou 450006,China)
Abstract:The toll road is similar to the natural life,and it has its own continuous process of some stages in growing.Based on the life cycle theory,the life cycle of toll road in China was discussed and analyzed deeply.The results show that the toll road had come into mature period after 2000;when it reaches the peak on 2030,it would decrease on the total amount and come into declining period,and the new development trend would also appear gradually.
Keywords:life cycle  toll road  development trend  
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