基于综合运输网络的公路建设项目交通量预测方法研究

分析了传统公路建设项目交通量预测方法存在的主要问题。从综合运输的角度出发,提出了基于综合运输网络的公路建设项目交通量预测方法,并对预测方法涉及的具体模型进行了讨论。认为应用该方法可以客观反映公路与其它运输方式之间的作用关系、准确描述交通量的转移规律、充分把握建设项目在综合运输网络中的作用和地位,使预测结果更加合理、有效。

Research on Traffic Precdicting Method of Highway Project Based on Multi-mode Transportation Network

This paper analyzes the main problems existed in traditional traffic volume predicting method for highway construction. From comprehensive transportation point of view, the paper puts forward a traffic predicting method of highway project based on multi-mode network, and discusses the models used in this method as well. This method can objectively reveal the relationship between highway transportation and other models and exactly describe volume transfer rule, and confirm the function and status of the highway project in the multi-mode network, so that the prediction can be more rational and efficient than former method.