| 干散货海铁联运系统关键因素敏感性分析 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 范小晶,封学军,张艳,蒋柳鹏.干散货海铁联运系统关键因素敏感性分析[J].华东交通大学学报,2014(5):56-62. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 范小晶 封学军 张艳 蒋柳鹏 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 河海大学 港口、海岸与近海工程学院
2. 河海大学 港口、海岸与近海工程学院; 河海大学 水资源高效利用与工程安全国家工程研究中心，江苏 南京 210098 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(51009060)；中央高校基本科研基金 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 随着我国对干散货需求的不断增加,海铁联运模式日益受到重视。为明确干散货海铁联运系统中关键因素,运用系统动力学及建模软件VENSIM,构建了干散货海铁联运的系统动力学模型,并采用福建省湄洲湾港干散货海铁联运案列对模型进行仿真验证,证明了该模型有效可行。最后对模型的关键因素进行敏感性分析,并提出促进湄洲湾海铁联运发展的相关建议。
|
| 关 键 词： | 海铁联运 系统动力学 关键因素 敏感性分析 |
Sensitivity Analysis on Key Factors of Rail-sea Intermodal Transport System of Dry Bulk |
| |
| Fan Xiaojing,Feng Xuejun,Zhang Yan,Jiang Liupeng.Sensitivity Analysis on Key Factors of Rail-sea Intermodal Transport System of Dry Bulk[J].Journal of East China Jiaotong University,2014(5):56-62. |
| |
| Authors: | Fan Xiaojing Feng Xuejun Zhang Yan Jiang Liupeng |
| |
| Institution: | Fan Xiaojing,Feng Xuejun,Zhang Yan,Jiang Liupeng (Hohai University 1. College of Harbor, Coastal and Offshore Engineering; 2. State Key Engineering Research Center of Efficient Utilization of Water Resources and Engineering Safety, Nanjing 210098,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | With the growing demand of dry bulk in China,rail-sea intermodal transport gets more attention.In or-der to define the key factors of rail-sea intermodal transport of dry bulk,this study uses system dynamic and mod-eling software VENSIM to establish system dynamic model of rail-sea intermodal transport of dry bulk,and thecase of rail-sea intermodal transport of dry bulk of Meizhou Bay Port in Fujian is simulated and verified by themodel.The result shows that the model is feasible and effective.Finally,the key factors in the model are sensitive-ly analyzed,and suggestions for promoting the development of rail-sea intermodal transport in Meizhou Bay havebeen proposed. |
| |
| Keywords: | rail-sea intermodal transport system dynamic key factors sensitivity analysis |
| 本文献已被 维普 等数据库收录！ |
|
