| 水网地区航道货运量的预测方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 殷兆进,袁洪春.水网地区航道货运量的预测方法[J].水运工程,2011(7):147-152. |
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| 作者姓名： | 殷兆进 袁洪春 |
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| 作者单位： | 江苏省交通规划设计院有限公司,江苏,南京,210004 |
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| 摘 要： | 航道的货运量规模是航道规划定级及确定建设标准的重要参考依据.针对水网地区航道布局特点,在借鉴公路交通经典四阶段预测理论的基础上,研究提出了水网地区航道的货运量预测方法,重点分析了航道OD调查方法、运量预测模型等内容,并就趋势型水运量、诱增型水运量、转移型水运量预测等进行了深入探讨.结合江苏省内河航道网实例,对水网地区航道货运量预测方法进行了阐述和应用.
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| 关 键 词： | 水网地区 航道 货运量 预测方法 |
Estimating of freight traffic volume in waterway network region |
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| YIN Zhao-jin,YUAN Hong-chun.Estimating of freight traffic volume in waterway network region[J].Port & Waterway Engineering,2011(7):147-152. |
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| Authors: | YIN Zhao-jin YUAN Hong-chun |
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| Institution: | YIN,Zhao-jin,YUAN Hong-chun(Jiangsu Provincial Communication Planning and Design Institute Co.,Ltd.,Nanjing 210004,China) |
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| Abstract: | The freight traffic volume is a main reference for the planning of waterway grade and construction criteria.According to the characteristics of waterway network region and referencing the four-step estimating method on the road traffic,this paper presents a freight traffic volume estimating method in the waterway network region,with a stress laid on the waterway OD investigation,water freight traffic volume estimating model.It also researches the normal,increasing and transferring freight traffic volume est... |
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| Keywords: | waterway network region waterway freight traffic volume estimating method |
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