| 公路旅游运输客运量预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄平.公路旅游运输客运量预测[J].重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版),2002,21(4):51-53. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄平 |
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| 作者单位： | 成都市交通局,四川,成都,610015 |
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| 摘 要： | 公路旅游客运量的预测是公路旅游运输客运发展和管理的基础 ,也是地区未来旅游发展趋势的预测 .笔者结合公路旅游客运的特点 ,提出了地区旅游客运总量的“弹性系数法”的常规预测模型 ;公路旅游客运量的“景点容量—吸引力模型”和“容量—车型模型” ,为旅游运输车型配置和合理的组织运输提供理论基础
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| 关 键 词： | 公路 旅游运输 容量吸引力模型 容量车型模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-716X(2002)04-0051-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年5月20日 |
The prediction of the road capacity of tourist transport |
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| Abstract: | The prediction of the road capacity of tourist transport is the basis for the development and management of road transportation and tourism, which indicates the developmental trend of regional tourism. Closely related to the characteristics of road tourist transport, this paper comes up with a regular predictive model, Elasticity Coefficient Method, about regional total volume of tourist transport. At the same time,“Scenic Capacity Attraction Model”and “Capacity Vehicle Mode Model”lay a theoretical basis for the configuration of vehicle mode for tour transportation and reasonable organization for transport. |
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| Keywords: | road tour transportation capacity attraction model capacity vehicle mode model |
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