| 原油管道结蜡预测模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 邱姝娟,吴明,赵玲,杜利红.原油管道结蜡预测模型研究[J].管道技术与设备,2005(5):3-4. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邱姝娟 吴明 赵玲 杜利红 |
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| 作者单位： | 辽宁石油化工大学机械工程分院,辽宁,抚顺,113001;辽宁石油化工大学职业技术学院,辽宁,抚顺,113001;中原油田分公司输油管理处,河南,濮阳,457165 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用灰色GM(1,1)模型的全息信息特性,在不需要多因素分析的情况下,建立了输油管道的结蜡速度和结蜡厚度的灰色GM(1,1)模型,实现了部分信息情况下的原油管道结蜡预测。实际计算表明:该模型误差在±2%以内,完全满足工程实际需要。
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| 关 键 词： | 输油管道 结蜡 灰色系统 模型 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-9614（2005）05-0003-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-04-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-08-26 |
Grey Prediction Model of Wax Deposition |
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| QIU Shu-juan,WU Ming,ZHAO Ling,DU Li-hong.Grey Prediction Model of Wax Deposition[J].Pipeline Technique and Equipment,2005(5):3-4. |
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| Authors: | QIU Shu-juan WU Ming ZHAO Ling DU Li-hong |
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| Abstract: | According to the holographic information characteristics of GM(1,1),the grey predicted model of wax deposition thickness and wax sediment velocity was built up.The model makes it possible to avoid analyzing many factors.The predicting result indicates that the error of predicting value range is within 2% when this model is used,thus completely satisfying engineering needs and providing a reliable basis for making a plan to clear wax on oil pipelines. |
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| Keywords: | oil pipeline wax deposition grey system model forecasting |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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