The interurban DRAG-Spain model: The main factors of influence on road accidents in Spain |
| |
Authors: | Francisco Aparicio Izquierdo Blanca Arenas Ramírez Eva Bernardos Rodríguez |
| |
Institution: | 1. Automobile Research Institute, (INSIA), Spain;2. Technical University of Madrid (UPM), José Gutiérrez de Abascal 2, 28006 Madrid, Spain |
| |
Abstract: | This paper presents the results of applying DRAG methodology to the identification of the main factors of influence on the number of injury and fatal accidents occurring on Spain’s interurban network. Nineteen independent variables have been included in the model grouped together under ten categories: exposure, infrastructure, weather, drivers, economic variables, vehicle stock, surveillance, speed and legislative measures. Highly interesting conclusions can be reached from the results on the basis of the different effects of a single variable on each of the accident types according to severity. The greatest influence revealed by the results is exposure, which together with inexperienced drivers, speed and an ageing vehicle stock, have a negative effect, while the increased surveillance on roads, the improvement in the technological features of vehicles and the proportion of high capacity networks have a positive effect, since the results obtained show a significant drop in accidents. |
| |
Keywords: | Traffic accidents Time series analysis Mobility Infrastructure Surveillance Traffic speed Safety laws Vehicle stock characteristics Spanish intercity road network |
本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录! |
|