| 基于产业关联度的都市圈轨道交通客流分布预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘海洲,周涛,高志刚.基于产业关联度的都市圈轨道交通客流分布预测[J].城市轨道交通研究,2010,13(1):15-18. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘海洲 周涛 高志刚 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆市城市交通规划研究所,400020,重庆;重庆交通大学交通运输学院,400074,重庆;重庆市城市交通规划研究所,400020,重庆 |
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| 摘 要： | 阐述了在都市圈轨道交通分布模型中引入产业关联度的必要性和可行性。将两城市之间的产业关联度参数加入到现有交通分布模型中,给出了交通小区间产业关联度的灰色理论计算方法,对系统平衡模型进行了改进。提出了基于产业关联度的都市圈轨道交通客流预测方法,并以重庆市"一小时经济圈"为例,对重庆"一小时经济圈"2020年的轨道交通客流进行了预测和分析,以促进我国都市圈轨道交通规划和客流预测的科学性和合理性。
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| 关 键 词： | 都市圈 轨道交通 客流预测 产业关联度 灰色关联 出行分布 |
Forecasting Method of Passenger Flow in Metropolitan Area Based on Industry Related Degree |
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| Liu Haizhou,Zhou Tao,Gao Zhigang.Forecasting Method of Passenger Flow in Metropolitan Area Based on Industry Related Degree[J].Urban Mass Transit,2010,13(1):15-18. |
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| Authors: | Liu Haizhou Zhou Tao Gao Zhigang |
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| Institution: | Liu Haizhou,Zhou Tao,Gao Zhigang Chongqing Transport Planning Institute,400020,Chongqing,China |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of analyzing and summarizing the advantages and disadvantages of the existing methods for rail transit passenger flow forecast in metropolitan area,this paper adds the industry related degree to the distribution model,discusses a gray relation calculating method of the industry related degree between two traffic zones,and improves the system balance model.Then,this paper puts out a forecasting method of passenger flow in metropolitan area based on industry related degree,by taking Chongqing one... |
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| Keywords: | metropolitan area rail transit passenger flow forcast industry related degree gray relation travel distribution |
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