| 大连新机场轨道交通客流预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 马彩雯,刘贺. 大连新机场轨道交通客流预测[J]. 大连交通大学学报, 2012, 0(5): 54-57 |
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| 作者姓名： | 马彩雯 刘贺 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连交通大学交通运输工程学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 为了提供大连新机场轨道交通专线日后建设的参考数据，通过定性与定量分析相结合的方法，对现有的大连周水子机场客运数据进行计算，得到大连新机场轨道交通专线客流量的预测值，其中定量方法使用的是三次指数平滑法和等维灰数递补动态预测法,结果为大连新机场轨道交通专线日后选线、列车编组、发车频率等提供了可靠数据．
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| 关 键 词： | 轨道交通 客流预测 三次指数平滑法 机场 |
Forecast of Dalian Airport Rail Transit Passenger Flow |
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| MA Cai-wen,LIU He. Forecast of Dalian Airport Rail Transit Passenger Flow[J]. Journal of Dalian Jiaotong University, 2012, 0(5): 54-57 |
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| Authors: | MA Cai-wen LIU He |
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| Affiliation: | (School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering,Dalian Jiaotong University,Dalian 116028,China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to provide reference data for future construction in the new Dalian airport rail transit line,the data of passenger for Zhoushuizi Airport in Dalian are calculatd through qualitative and quantitative analysis,and the predictive value of the new airport rail transit traffic is receive.Quantitative methods are used in the three exponential smoothing and dimension gray recurrence dynamic prediction method.The results provide a reliable data for line selection train formation and the grid frequency in the future of the new Dalian airport rail transit line. |
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| Keywords: | rail transportation passenger flow forecast three exponential smoothing airport |
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