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Closed form models to assess railroad technology investments
Authors:Raj Bridgelall  Denver D Tolliver
Institution:1. Department of Transportation, Logistics &2. Finance, College of Business, North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND, USA raj@bridgelall.comORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3743-6652;4. Upper Great Plains Transportation Institute, North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND, USA ORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8522-9394
Abstract:ABSTRACT

Class I railroads in North America collectively invested USUS$11.2 billion to comply with a U.S. federal mandate to deploy positive train control as a form of train protection system. This amount dwarfs the potential savings from accidents the technology could prevent. Therefore, railroads must seek additional benefits. This research contributes simple closed-form models to inform strategies that can leverage the technology deployment by estimating the annual additional net benefits, internal rate of return, and benefit-cost ratio needed for a desired payback period.
Keywords:Railroad safety  train protection system  positive train control  benefit-cost analysis  internal rate of return  non-destructive evaluation  payback period
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