| 基于Shapley值变权的航运业发展评价 |
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| 引用本文： | 李子剑,陈汨梨,封学军,蒋柳鹏,陈乾阳.基于Shapley值变权的航运业发展评价[J].中国航海,2019(3):126-129. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李子剑 陈汨梨 封学军 蒋柳鹏 陈乾阳 |
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| 作者单位： | 河海大学港口海岸与近海工程学院;中国港湾西部非洲区域公司;山东省交通规划设计院 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(41401120);中央高校基本科研业务费(2019B12614) |
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| 摘 要： | 为降低单一评价方法对同一对象的评价结论存在的误差,基于Shapley值方法选择多种评价方法对航运业发展进行评价,得出最佳博弈评价方法的权重以降低误差。对2012—2016年福建省航运业进行评价的案例结果显示:不同评价方法的计算结论存在差异,Shapley值变权方法能有效地降低不同评价方法造成的误差,提高评价结论的精确度。基于Shapley值变权方法对航运业发展进行评价具有较好的创新性和应用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 航运业 组合评价 SHAPLEY值 变权 |
Evaluation of Shipping Industry Development with Shapley Value Method |
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| LI Zijian,CHEN Mili,FENG Xuejun,JIANG Liupeng,CHEN Qianyang.Evaluation of Shipping Industry Development with Shapley Value Method[J].Navigation of China,2019(3):126-129. |
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| Authors: | LI Zijian CHEN Mili FENG Xuejun JIANG Liupeng CHEN Qianyang |
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| Institution: | (College of Harbour, Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;China Harbour Western Africa Regional Company, Abidjan 06BP6687, C te d′ivoire;Shandong Provincial Communications Planning and Design Institute, Jinan 250031, China) |
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| Abstract: | The multiple evaluation methods based on Shapley value weight is proposed to reduce the possible error of individual evaluation method in performing shipping industry development evaluation. Each best game evaluation method is given a weight according to the Shapley value when combining the results from the evaluation methods. This method is used for studying Fujian shipping industry from 2012 to 2016. The analysis shows that the combining scheme gives more accurate evaluation than any individual evaluation method. The innovative evaluation of shipping industry development with Shapley value weight is of better application value. |
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| Keywords: | shipping industry combination evaluation Shapley value variable weight |
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