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风险矩阵方法在集体逃生舱释放过程中的应用研究
引用本文:陈华伟,陈生春,黄祥兵.风险矩阵方法在集体逃生舱释放过程中的应用研究[J].舰船电子工程,2011,31(7):105-108.
作者姓名:陈华伟  陈生春  黄祥兵
作者单位:海军工程大学船舶与动力学院 武汉430033
摘    要:针对风险矩阵方法的不足和集体逃生舱释放过程风险评估的需要,对风险矩阵方法进行了适应性改进。建立了具体的风险评估模型,采用专家判断法和模糊集理论确定事件发生的风险概率和风险等级,最后通过实例验证了该模型的可行性。

关 键 词:风险矩阵  模糊集理论  风险评估

Appling Risk Matrix Method to Evaluate the Releasing Process of Collective Escape Capsule
Chen Huawei,Chen Shengchun,Huang Xiangbing.Appling Risk Matrix Method to Evaluate the Releasing Process of Collective Escape Capsule[J].Ship Electronic Engineering,2011,31(7):105-108.
Authors:Chen Huawei  Chen Shengchun  Huang Xiangbing
Institution:Chen Huawei Chen Shengchun Huang Xiangbing(College of Naval Architecture and Power,Naval University of Engineering,Wuhan 430033)
Abstract:This paper improves the adaptability of the risk matrix method,which is caused by its shortcoming and need of risk evaluation for Submarine collective escape capsule.It establishes an idiographic risk-evaluation model.Experts estimate method and fuzzy set theory are used to identify the risk level and probability of occurrence,and finally,it proves the feasibility of this model by an example.
Keywords:risk matrix  fuzzy set theory  risk evaluation  
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