| 城市出租车发展规模预测方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 胡军红,严亚丹,过秀成. 城市出租车发展规模预测方法研究[J]. 现代交通技术, 2011, 8(6): 73-77 |
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| 作者姓名： | 胡军红 严亚丹 过秀成 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南京工业大学交通学院,江苏南京,210009
2. 东南大学交通学院,江苏南京,210096 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章在对城市出租车规模影响因素分析的基础上,对现有的出租车规模预测方法进行了综合分析与评价,推荐选用供需平衡法或神经网络法进行出租车的数量预测,再结合各种影响因素综合确定出租车的发展规模;最后结合吴江市出租车发展规模预测进行了实例分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 公共交通 出租车 发展规模 预测方法 |
Study on Prediction Methods of Urban Taxi Development Scale |
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| Hu Junhong,Yan Yadan,Guo Xiucheng. Study on Prediction Methods of Urban Taxi Development Scale[J]. Modern Transportation Technology, 2011, 8(6): 73-77 |
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| Authors: | Hu Junhong Yan Yadan Guo Xiucheng |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Transpertation College, Nanjing University of Technology, Nanjing 210(O9 ;China; 2.Transportation College, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the analysis of factors that affect the urban taxi quantity,this paper studied and conducted a comprehensive analysis with four prediction methods. Supply and demand balance method and neural network method were recommended to confirm the taxi quantity in a city. Finally,the paper presented a sample of data collected from Wujiang city as a case study. |
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| Keywords: | public transportation taxi development scale prediction methods |
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