Determinants of the damage cost and injury severity of ferry vessel accidents |
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Authors: | Wayne K Talley Di Jin Hauke Kite-Powell |
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Institution: | (1) The Department of Surgery, Radiology, Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, The University Hospital of the West Indies, Mona, Kingston 7, Jamaica, W.I;(2) Office of the Dean, Faculty of Medical Sciences, The University of the West Indies, Mona, Kingston 7, Jamaica, W.I;(3) Department of Community Health and Psychiatry, The University of the West Indies, Mona, Kingston 7, Jamaica, W.I |
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Abstract: | This study investigates determinants of the property damage cost and injury severity of ferry vessel accidents. Detailed data
of individual ferry vessel accidents for the 11-year timeperiod 1991–2001 that were investigated by the U.S. Coast Guard are
used to estimate ferry-vessel accident property damage cost and injury severity equations. Tobit regression is used to estimate
the former equation and the ordered probit model is used to estimate the latter. Property damage costs include damage costs
to the vessel itself, its cargo and contents, and other-property damage (e.g., damage to pier structures and waterfront facilities).
Injury severity for a ferry vessel accident is measured as an ordinal variable — no injuries, non-fatal injuries and fatal
injuries. Damage cost and injury severity of individual ferry vessel accidents are expressed as functions of the type of vessel
accident, vessel characteristics, vessel operation phase, weather/visibility conditions, type of waterway, type of vessel
propulsion, type of vessel hull construction and cause of vessel accident. The property damage estimation results suggest
that allision, collision and fire ferry vessel accidents incur more vessel property damage cost per vessel gross ton than
other types of accidents. The injury severity estimation results suggest that injury severity is greater when the ferry vessel
accident is caused by human error as opposed to vessel and environmental factors. |
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