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形势依然非常严峻 《2012年第二季度中国航运景气报告》发布
作者单位:上海国际航运研究中心
摘    要:航运企业经营状况恶化趋势有所放缓,但是中国航运行业总体状况恶化趋势略微加剧。7月3日,上海国际航运研究中心发布"2012年第二季度中国航运景气报告"。报告显示,2012年第二季度,

关 键 词:中国航运业  航运企业  景气区间  企业景气指数  总体状况  经营状况  干散货运输  第一季度  国际航运  景气调查

China Shipping Prosperity Report(2012 Q2) issued
Abstract:On July 3,2012,Shanghai International Shipping Institute(SISI) issued China Shipping Prosperity Report(2012 Q2).The report shows that the Chinese shipping industry prosperity index was 94.54 points in the second quarter,in the slightly unprosperous level.The shipping industry conf idence index was also in slightly unprosperous section at 63.42 points.The industry’s deterioration has slightly worsened.In the second quarter,port operators kept a healthy growth.Carriers’ prosperity index had climbed weakly for two quarters in a row.Shipping service providers’ index hit the bottom and began to recover.But indexes of all of the three were still under the prosperity level.Previous estimation said that the carriers’ prosperity level will rise to the prosperity level at 100.76 points in the second quarter.But the actual f igure was only 87.64 points.Container carriers’ index climbed to the prosperous section at 119.40 points.Bulk carriers’ were at slightly unprosperous section with 74.21 points.The report also predicts that China’s shipping business environment will continue to worsen in the third quarter and the shipping industry prosperity index will drop by 1.02 points over the last quarter to 93.52 points.Only seven per cent of the shipping enterprises are optimistic about the outlook in the third quarter,while 68 per cent are pessimistic.The conf idence index for the third quarter is predicted to be at 60.06 points.Survey shows that 75.97 per cent of the carriers think that full recovery of the market will not come before 2014.Bulk carriers are even more pessimistic with 87.88 per cent holding the same opinion.
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