| 浙江省交通运输发展与区域经济增长的均衡关系分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 姜力,李春琴.浙江省交通运输发展与区域经济增长的均衡关系分析[J].交通科技与经济,2013,15(1):125-128. |
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| 作者姓名： | 姜力 李春琴 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 浙江省公路技师学院,浙江杭州,310023
2. 台州高速公路,浙江台州,318000 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过协整分析并建立误差修正模型探讨浙江省经济发展与交通运输发展间短期和长期的均衡关系，并在此基础上通过Granger因果分析探讨浙江省经济发展与交通运输发展间的因果关系。得出浙江省经济发展与交通运输发展间存在长期均衡关系，浙江省经济的增长与交通运输发展间存在着正相关关系的结论。实践证明，浙江省经济的增长在一定程度上推动交通运输的发展。
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| 关 键 词： | 交通运输 区域经济 协整分析 因果分析 均衡关系 |
Equilibrium analysis on the relations between transportation industry and regional economic growth in Zhejiang province |
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| JIANG Li
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LI Chun-qin.Equilibrium analysis on the relations between transportation industry and regional economic growth in Zhejiang province[J].Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications,2013,15(1):125-128. |
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| Authors: | JIANG Li LI Chun-qin |
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| Institution: | 1.Zhejiang Traffic Technicians College,Hangzhou 310023,China;2.Taizhou Expressway Group,Taizhou 318000,China) |
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| Abstract: | Base on co-integration analysis and by establishing an error correction model, it presents the short-term and long-term equilibrium relations between transportation and regional economic growth, and discusses the causes and effects with Granger causality. The conclusion shows that, Zhejiang transportation and regional economy growth are in a long-term equilibrium relation. In effects Zhejiang regional economic growth has promoted the transport development in a certain extent. |
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| Keywords: | transportation regional economy co-integration analysis cause-effect analysis equilibrium relation |
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