| 导弹电子设备故障间隔时间预测方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵亮,徐廷学,韩建立,韩朝.导弹电子设备故障间隔时间预测方法研究[J].舰船电子工程,2012(7):101-103. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵亮 徐廷学 韩建立 韩朝 |
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| 作者单位： | 海军航空工程学院研究生管理大队;中国人民解放军91604部队;海军航空工程学院兵器科学与技术系;海军航空工程学院科研部 |
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| 摘 要： | 为提高装备维修保障能力,针对导弹电子设备的特点,应用灰色GM（1,1）预测与马尔可夫预测的组合预测模型对导弹电子设备故障间隔时间进行预测,并应用此模型通过实例对预测精度进行了检验。结果表明该方法可对导弹装备的视情维修提供参考,具有较高的使用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 装备保障 灰色马尔可夫 组合预测 故障间隔时间 |
Research on a Prediction Method of Time Between Failure for the Electronic Equipment of a Type Missile |
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| ZHAO Liang,XU Tingxue,HAN Jianli,HAN Zhao.Research on a Prediction Method of Time Between Failure for the Electronic Equipment of a Type Missile[J].Ship Electronic Engineering,2012(7):101-103. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Liang XU Tingxue HAN Jianli HAN Zhao |
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| Institution: | 1(1.Graduate Students’Brigade of Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University,Yantai 264001)(2.Weapon Science and Technology Dept.of Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University,Yantai 264001)(3.Ministry of Scientific Research of Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University,Yantai 264001)(4.No.91604 Unit of PLA,Longkou 265700) |
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| Abstract: | In order to improve the equipment maintenance and support ability,the prediction used GM(1,1)-Markov combination forecasting model for Time Between Failure was done,based on the characteristic of the electronic equipment of a type missile.Then,using this model prediction accuracy was tested by examples.The results show that the method can provide a reference for the Condition-based maintenance(CBM) of a missile equipment,and the method is regarded of feasibility and high practice value. |
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| Keywords: | equipment support GM(1 1)-Markov combination forecasting Time Between Failure(TBF) |
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