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Congestion spill effects of Heathrow and Frankfurt airports on connection traffic in European and Gulf hub airports |
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| Institution: | 1. University of Bergamo, 24044 Dalmine, Italy;2. Toulouse Business School, 31068 Toulouse, France;1. Frenkova 3, SI-6280, Ankaran, Slovenia;2. University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Civil and Geodetic Engineering, Jamova cesta 2, SI-1000, Ljubljana, Slovenia;3. Universita di Trieste, Dipartimento di Scienze Ecomoniche, Aziendali, Matematiche e Statistiche (DEAMS), Via Velerio 4/1, IT-34127, Trieste, Italy;4. University of Primorska, Faculty of Tourism Studies – Turistica, Obala 11a, SI-6320, Portorož, Slovenia;1. Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management (TU Delft), The Netherlands;2. Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research (University of Amsterdam), The Netherlands |
| Abstract: | We develop two stage fixed-effects single-spill and double-spill models for congestion connection spills of London Heathrow and Frankfurt airports on 9 hub airports in Europe and the Gulf. Our panel data covers connection traffic from 1997 to 2013 for Heathrow and 1997 to 2011 for Frankfurt. The single-spill results support strongly that the connection spills from Heathrow’s capacity limitations do strengthen competing hub airports of major alliance groups and to a lesser degree one Gulf hub. The double-spill model for Heathrow and Frankfurt shows nearly asymmetric overall spill characteristics between the two airports. Our results underline the influence of airline network strategies on congestion spills as European airline networks are shaped by alliances and umbrella mergers. Thus, the airline network perspective in airport capacity expansion decisions needs to play a greater role, as indicated by our asymmetric results for overall spill effects between Heathrow and Frankfurt airports. |
| Keywords: | Connection passengers Transfer passengers Airport connections Airport congestion Heathrow airport Frankfurt airport Gulf hubs Hub airports Airport competition Air transport policy Congestion spill |
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