新型城镇化与综合交通发展的互动关系计量研究

为分析城镇化与综合交通系统之间的互动关系，提出了新型城镇化与综合交通发展的综合指数测度指标，揭示1997—2016 年中国及东中西地区两者的发展趋势与特征，并运用时域分析和频域分析相结合方法，探讨该时段两者的互动演变关系及空间差异性. 研究表明：中国新型城镇化与综合交通发展呈现平稳上升态势，且地区间差距有扩大趋势；两者之间存在长期均衡互动关系，但在不同时段不同区域存在差异性，全国和东部地区为拉动型，中部为互动型，西部为推动型；综合交通发展对新型城镇化的影响更为显著，且影响程度呈现东高西低的态势；全国及东中部地区的综合交通发展均滞后于新型城镇化，西部地区则相反.

Quantitative Study on Interaction Between New Urbanization and Integrated Transportation Development

For analyze the interaction between the new urbanization and integrated transportation development, the evaluation index was built, and its development trend and characteristics of national and the east, middle and west part of China from 1997 to 2016 were revealed. The combination of time domain and frequency domain analysis is used for analyze the interactive evolution relationship and spatial difference between urbanization and integrated transportation development. The results show that: Firstly, the development of new urbanization and integrated transportation is rising steadily and the regional gap is widening; Secondly, there is a long- term equilibrium interaction between the two, but there are differences in different periods and regions; Thirdly, the integrated transport development has a more significant impact on the new urbanization, and east is higher than west; Fourthly, the integrated transport development in the whole country and the eastern and central regions lags behind the new urbanization, whereas in the western regions it is the opposite.