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动态公交客流预测方法研究
引用本文:梁雪玲. 动态公交客流预测方法研究[J]. 城市公共交通, 2012, 0(4): 33-34,43
作者姓名:梁雪玲
作者单位:广东省交通运输规划研究中心 广州 510101
摘    要:随着公交的大力发展,公交优化要从传统的调度方式向实时调度转变。这就要求公交客流预测要具备短时性和滚动性,即动态预测。现有的公交客流预测方法集中于长期客流数据的预测,缺乏时效,不适用于公交的实时调度。本文给出了一种对公交客流进行动态预测的简单方法。

关 键 词:动态  公交客流  预测方法  GM(1,1)

Prediction Method Research of Dynamic Mass Transit Passenger Flow
Liang XueLing. Prediction Method Research of Dynamic Mass Transit Passenger Flow[J]. Urban Public Transport, 2012, 0(4): 33-34,43
Authors:Liang XueLing
Affiliation:The Transport Planning & Research Centre of Guangdong Liang XueLing
Abstract:With the vigorous development of public transport, bus scheduling changes from traditional optimization methods to real-time scheduling . This requires short-term and rolling bus passenger flow forecast, namely dynamic prediction. Most of the current bus passenger flow forecasting methods are long-term forecast , being lack of timeliness, can not be used in. This paper presents a simple bus passenger dynamic prediction method for real-time bus scheduling.
Keywords:dynamic  bus passenger flow  prediction method  GM (1, 1)
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