从 ESREL2015国际会议的动态展望交通安全发展

介绍了第25届欧洲安全与可靠性会议(25 th European Safety and Reliability Conference,ES-REL 2015)的概况。通过对该次国际会议大会报告内容的分析及发表论文的分类统计,从系统安全研究的角度出发,探讨了柔性理论、安全评价理论、不确定性理论等安全与可靠性领域的研究热点问题,并阐述了上述理论及技术在交通领域的应用情况。最后,基于安全与可靠性领域的热点问题,展望了交通系统安全风险防控的发展趋势,并提出了基于柔性理论构架的交通系统安全评价框架和步骤。

Research trends of transportation safety:identified from ESREL 2015 conference

This paper provides an overview of the 25 th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 201 5). Through statistically categorizing the keynote speeches and technical papers,from a perspective of systems security ap-proach,popular topics in the field of safety and reliability including resilience theory,safety assessment theory and uncer-tainty theory are summarized in this paper and their applications in the field of transportation system are introduced.Fi-nally,the trend of risk prevention and control of the transportation system based on the popular topics presented at the ESREL 201 5 are illustrated and a safety assessment framework of transportation system based on the resilience theory is presented.