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基于假设检验的电子巡航协同运行模式效能分析研究
引用本文:王茹军,陈俊,曹阳,张刚. 基于假设检验的电子巡航协同运行模式效能分析研究[J]. 交通信息与安全, 2015, 0(2): 132-136. DOI: 10.3963/j.issn1674-4861.2015.02.021
作者姓名:王茹军  陈俊  曹阳  张刚
作者单位:长江海事局 武汉430016
基金项目:国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目
摘    要:在电子巡航实施过程中,其有关组织、程序、运行机制、业务指标等各项工作仍处于不断摸索中。为了验证电子巡航运行模式的有效性,在介绍电子巡航基本工作流程的基础上,综合分析现有运行模式划分的优缺点,提出了电子巡航指挥中心协同运行模式,选取“船舶违章率”、“远程纠正船舶违章率”和“水上交通事故率”作为评价指标,通过假设检验对电子巡航协同运行模式进行了效能分析。结果表明:电子巡航实施后海事监管效能值(0.998)较实施前海事监管效能值(0.894)上升了11.6%,海事监管效能得到了显著的提高。今后,随着电子巡航工作的逐步完善,运行数据将得到统一记录和保存,在此基础上,可对不同模式进行相互之间的效能对比分析。 

关 键 词:交通安全   电子巡航   协同运行模式   假设检验   海事监管   效能分析

Efficiency Analysis of Coordinated Operation Mode of Electric Supervision Based on Hypothesis Testing
WANG Rujun,CHEN Jun,CAO Yang,ZHANG Gang. Efficiency Analysis of Coordinated Operation Mode of Electric Supervision Based on Hypothesis Testing[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2015, 0(2): 132-136. DOI: 10.3963/j.issn1674-4861.2015.02.021
Authors:WANG Rujun  CHEN Jun  CAO Yang  ZHANG Gang
Abstract:The organization ,programs and operation mechanism are still developing while electronic supervision is implementing .This paper discusses the strengths and weaknesses of current operation mode of electronic supervision and proposes a coordinated operation mode of command centre based on the theory of electronic supervision ."Ship violation rate""ship violation rate of remote correction"and"maritime accident rate"are selected as the evaluation indicators ,and an efficiency analysis is conducted based on hypothesis testing .The result shows that maritime supervision effectiveness value increases from 0 .894 to 0 .998 after the implementation of electric supervision .In the future ,the data will be col‐lected and saved in a central system with the development of electronic supervision ,and different modes can be evaluated . The coordinated operation mode can improve supervision efficiency and help to standardize the implementation of electron‐ic supervision ,which plays an important role in maritime supervision . 
Keywords:traffic safety  electronic supervision  coordinated operation mode  hypothesis testing  maritime super-vision  efficiency analysis
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