考虑贴现因子的民航协同运输利润分配研究

为探究贴现因子对民航协同运输利润分配的影响，得出更合理的利润分配方案，构建考虑贴现因子的讨价还价模型，采用逆推归纳法分类讨论贴现因子不同取值范围下的协同运输利润最优分配方案，并对方案的可行性进行模拟验证.研究结果表明，贴现因子对利润分配与合作稳定性有明显的影响；当航空公司贴现因子不相等时，为实现 “双赢”，贴现因子较大的一方应“礼让”博弈第一阶段的出价权，同时贴现因子较小一方的贴现因子变化对利润分配比例变化具有更大的灵敏度；当贴现因子相等时，参与博弈的航空公司应在一定的取值范围内出价以确保合作的稳定性.

Collaborative Transportation Profit Distribution in Consideration of Discount Factor in Civil Aviation Market

To explore the influence of the discount factor in collaborative transportation profit distribution of civil aviation, and to get the more reasonable profit distribution scheme, the bargain model in consideration of the discount factor is established, and by using backward induction, the optimal allocation scheme of profit distribution is under classified discussion when the discount factor is under different value range, then the feasibility of optimal allocation scheme is verified through numerical simulation. The research results show that the discount factor has obvious influence on collaborative transportation profit distribution of civil aviation and the stability of cooperation. When the participants' discount factor are unequal, the one whose discount factor is bigger should abandon the“first- call”right which will bring a “win- win”for two participants. Meanwhile the other one whose discount factor is smaller has higher sensitivity in changes between the discount factor and profit distribution proportion. When the participants' discount factor are equal, the participants' offers should be within a certain range to ensure the stability of collaborative transportation.