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灰色预测在高铁路基沉降预测中的应用
引用本文:秦晓光,杨龙才.灰色预测在高铁路基沉降预测中的应用[J].华东交通大学学报,2011(5):88-92.
作者姓名:秦晓光  杨龙才
作者单位:同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室;
摘    要:以在建某高速铁路为背景,通过对路基沉降实测数据的汇总,根据沉降曲线形态及沉降速率的差异将其分为3类.对观测数据进行等时距变换,采用灰色理论GM(1,1)模型、双曲线法、三点法对工后沉降进行预测,并对灰色理论预测模型进行精度检验.选取堆载预压期的数据作为模型原始数据,通过与实测最后一期数据的对比,发现灰色理论预测结果更接...

关 键 词:高速铁路  沉降预测  灰色理论  双曲线法  三点法

Application of Grey Prediction in Settlement Prediction of High-speed Railway
Qin Xiaoguang,Yang Longcai.Application of Grey Prediction in Settlement Prediction of High-speed Railway[J].Journal of East China Jiaotong University,2011(5):88-92.
Authors:Qin Xiaoguang  Yang Longcai
Institution:Qin Xiaoguang,Yang Longcai(Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of the Ministry of Education,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China)
Abstract:Based on the high-speed railway,by collecting the embankment settlement experimental data,it is di-vided into three categories according to the differences of settlement curve form and settlement rate.Grey theo-ry GM(1,1)model,the hyperbolic method and three-point method are used to predict the settlement and in-spect precision of grey theory forecasting model.Adopting data of preloading period as original data,by com-paring the measured data with predicting results of grey theory,the paper shows that resul...
Keywords:high-speed railways  ettlement prediction  grey theory  hyperbolic methodt  hree-point method  
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