| 基于贝叶斯网络的船舶人因安全性评估模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 侯政良,杨自春,初珠立.基于贝叶斯网络的船舶人因安全性评估模型[J].船舶工程,2011,33(1):78-81. |
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| 作者姓名： | 侯政良 杨自春 初珠立 |
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| 作者单位： | 海军工程大学,船舶与动力学院,武汉,430033;海军工程大学,船舶与动力学院,武汉,430033;海军工程大学,船舶与动力学院,武汉,430033 |
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| 基金项目： | 总装武器装备预研基金项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对舰船系统特点,设计了相应的人因安全性调查问卷,确定人因安全性影响因素、节点状态和条件概率.建立基于贝叶斯网络的船舶人因安全性量化评估模型,据此对影响安全性的因素进行灵敏度分析.结果表明,提出的安全性量化评估模型和分析方法正确、可行、有效.
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| 关 键 词： | 船舶 人因安全性 贝叶斯网络 调查问卷 灵敏度分析 |
Human Safety Assessment of Ships Based on Bayesian Network |
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| HOU Zheng-liang,YANG Zi-chun,CHU Zhu-li.Human Safety Assessment of Ships Based on Bayesian Network[J].Ship Engineering,2011,33(1):78-81. |
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| Authors: | HOU Zheng-liang YANG Zi-chun CHU Zhu-li |
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| Institution: | HOU Zheng-liang YANG Zi-chun CHU Zhu-li(College of Naval Architecture and Power,Naval University of Engineering,Wuhan 430033,China) |
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| Abstract: | Considering the characteristics of ship system,a corresponding questionnaire was designed;the influence factors of human safety,the states of nodes and conditional probability were also defined.Human Safety Assessment of ships based on Bayesian network was proposed and sensitivity analysis of influence factors was made based on the model.The result indicates that the proposed model and analysis method are correct,feasibility and availability. |
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| Keywords: | ship human safety assessment Bayesian network questionnaire sensitivity analysis |
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