| 边坡位移预测的混沌时间序列分析方法应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 苏忖安,盛松涛,陈红萍.边坡位移预测的混沌时间序列分析方法应用研究[J].中南公路工程,2006,31(6):5-7. |
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| 作者姓名： | 苏忖安 盛松涛 陈红萍 |
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| 作者单位： | 长沙理工大学水利学院,湖南长沙410076 |
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| 基金项目： | 湖南省教育厅资助项目（03hnjy022） |
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| 摘 要： | 把混沌时间序列理论引入到边坡工程研究中，运用边坡位移时间序列的最大Lyapunov指数预测边坡的变形破坏，建立了预测模型，并结合工程实例进行边坡位移预测，取得了较好的预测效果。
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| 关 键 词： | 混沌时间序列 Lyapunov指数 边坡预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-1205(2006)06-0005-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-03-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年3月8日 |
The application research of slope displacement forecasting by chaos time series |
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| SU Cunan, SHENG Songtao, CHEN Hongping ,.The application research of slope displacement forecasting by chaos time series[J].Central South Highway Engineering,2006,31(6):5-7. |
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| Authors: | SU Cunan SHENG Songtao CHEN Hongping |
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| Institution: | Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha, Hunan 410076, China |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, the theory of chaos time series was leaded into slope displacement research, the Lyapunov index of slope displacement time series was used to predict its future displacement and forecasting model and its program has been built, and compiled by Matlab6.5 software. Forecasting results from a real process of slope deformation demonstrate that this model is effective for multi-steps prediction. |
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| Keywords: | Chaos time series Lyapunov index displacement prediction |
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