基于Logit模型的汽车共享换乘地铁选择行为研究

针对汽车共享发展中存在的出行费用较高,城市中心区停车难问题,文章对汽车共享选择行为和地铁换乘选择行为的影响因素进行归纳分析,并设计出行者出行方式选择行为调查问卷;通过多项Logit模型对调查数据进行回归分析,探究影响汽车共享换乘地铁选择行为的因素,为推广汽车共享换乘地铁出行提出建议。研究结果表明,性别、年龄、职业、家庭年收入、家庭拥有小汽车数量、可以忍受的乘车最长步行距离、可以忍受的中心区道路平均车速、乘车时间、候车时间、出行费用等因素对汽车共享换乘地铁影响显著。

Research on the park and ride behavior of subway and car-sharing based on Logit model

In view of the existing problems of higher travel cost and difficult city parking in the development of car-sharing,this paper combed the factors influencing car-sharing choice and subway-based park-and-ride choice,and then designed the travel mode choice behavior questionnaire.By using multinomial Logit model on the survey data,it explored the factors influencing the park-and-ride behavior of subway and car-sharing and put forward some suggestions for promoting car-sharing-subway.The result shows that gender,age,occupation,annual family income,number of cars owned by the household,the longest walking distance to drive/ride that can tolerated,the average central road speed that can tolerated,the in-vehicle time,the out-vehicle time and travel cost have significant effects on the park-and-ride behavior of subway and car-sharing.