| 浙江省固定资产投资与经济增长关系的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 邓爱珍 李金昌. 浙江省固定资产投资与经济增长关系的实证分析[J]. 武汉汽车工业大学学报, 2008, 30(1): 132-135 |
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| 作者姓名： | 邓爱珍 李金昌 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]浙江工业大学理学院,浙江杭州310014 [2]浙江工商大学统计与数学学院,浙江杭州310035 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于1985-2004年数据，运用协整理论分析了浙江省固定资产投资增长率与GDP增长率的均衡关系，并建立了它们之间的误差修正模型（ECM）和向量自回归（VAR）模型。GRANGER因果检验得出的结论表明，浙江固定资产投资的变动显著地引起了GDP的变动，而GDP的波动对投资的作用相对要小。
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| 关 键 词： | 固定资产投资 经济增长 协整 向量自回归 格兰杰检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-144X（2008）01-0132-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-08-23 |
Empirical Analysis of Investment in Fixed Assets and Economic Growth of Zhejiang Province |
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| DENG Aizhen, LI Jinchang. Empirical Analysis of Investment in Fixed Assets and Economic Growth of Zhejiang Province[J]. , 2008, 30(1): 132-135 |
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| Authors: | DENG Aizhen LI Jinchang |
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| Abstract: | Based on the data of GDP from 1985 to 2004, together with the cointegration theory, the balanced relationship between the investment in fixed assets of Zhejiang Province and the rate of GDP was analyzed. The error correction model and vector autoregressive model between the two variables were set up. Granger - causality test shows Zbejiang investment in fixed - assets change obviously causes the change of GDP, while this GDP Fluctuation has minor effect on the investment. |
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| Keywords: | investment economic growth cointegration vector autoregressive granger- causality test |
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