| 公路隧道运营期风险定量分析模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵峰,周勇狄,夏永旭.公路隧道运营期风险定量分析模型研究[J].西部交通科技,2010(5):67-71,81. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵峰 周勇狄 夏永旭 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 长安大学,陕西,西安,710064
2. 广西交通科学研究院,广西,南宁,530007 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章借鉴风险评估理论,建立了一套适用于公路隧道运营期风险分析的定量风险分析模型,对隧道事故场景、发生概率、后果等进行评估。同时建立了事故疏散模型和FED人员逃生条件模型,为公路隧道运营期风险分析提供了方法依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 公路隧道 运营期风险 定量风险分析 事故场景设计 概率模型 后果模型 疏散模型 |
Research on Quantitative Analysis Model of Operating Risk in Road Tunnel |
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| ZHAO Feng,ZHOU Yong-Di,XIA Yong-Xu.Research on Quantitative Analysis Model of Operating Risk in Road Tunnel[J].Western China Communication Science & Technology,2010(5):67-71,81. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Feng ZHOU Yong-Di XIA Yong-Xu |
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| Institution: | 1.Chang＇an University,Xi＇an,Shanxi,710064;2.Guangxi Academy of Communications Science,Nanning,Guangxi,530007) |
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| Abstract: | Using the risk evaluating theory for reference,the article builds a quantitative anal-ysis model that can be used to analyze the risk of road tunnel operation.It estimates the tun-nel accident scene,probability and consequence.On this basis,the tunnel accident evacua-tion model and the FED staff escape condition model have been established,which pro-vides reference to related analysis. |
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| Keywords: | Road tunnel Operating risk Quantitative analysis model Accident scenario de-sign Probability model Consequence model Evacuating model |
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