| 城市轨道交通线网规划的客流预测模型及应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 王飞,广晓平.城市轨道交通线网规划的客流预测模型及应用[J].西部交通科技,2011(12):70-74. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王飞 广晓平 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 郑州铁路局南阳车务段,河南南阳,473000
2. 兰州交通大学交通运输学院,甘肃兰州,730070 |
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| 基金项目： | 甘肃省科技支撑计划项目“河谷型城市轨道交通网络规划方法及运营安全控制平台关键技术研究”(0803GKCA038) |
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| 摘 要： | 文章根据轨道交通线网规划客流预测的目标、要点、年限和内容,建立了包含出行生成预测、出行分布预测、交通方式分担预测和交通分配预测的四阶段法预测模型,并利用该模型对兰州市轨道交通线网规划的四种方案进行了客流预测,得出最优方案。
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| 关 键 词： | 轨道交通 线网规划 客流预测 模型 应用 |
The Passenger Flow Forecast for City Rail Traffic Line Network Planning and Its Application |
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| WANG Fei,GUANG Xiao-ping.The Passenger Flow Forecast for City Rail Traffic Line Network Planning and Its Application[J].Western China Communication Science & Technology,2011(12):70-74. |
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| Authors: | WANG Fei GUANG Xiao-ping |
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| Institution: | WANG Fei1,GUANG Xiao-ping2(1.Nanyang Train Operation Depot,Zhengzhou Railways Administration,Nanyang,Henan,473000,2.College of Traffic and Transportation,Lanzhou Jiaotong University,Lanzhou,Gansu,730070) |
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| Abstract: | According to the goal,key point,age limit and content of traffic line network pas-senger flow forecast,the article builds a four-stage forecast model that contains trip gener-ation forecast,trip distribution forecast,transportation sharing forecast,and traffic distribu-tion.We use this model to predict the traffic volume on the four methods contained in Lanzhou line network plan and reach the optimum one. |
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| Keywords: | Railway transit Line network plan Passenger flow forecast Model Application |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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