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考虑多特征的高速公路交通流预测模型
引用本文:李桃迎,王婷,张羽琪.考虑多特征的高速公路交通流预测模型[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2021,21(3):101-111.
作者姓名:李桃迎  王婷  张羽琪
作者单位:大连海事大学,航运经济与管理学院,辽宁 大连 116026
基金项目:国家自然科学基金/ National Natural Science Foundation of China(51939001);辽宁省兴辽英才计划 /Liaoning Revitalization Talents Program(XLYC1907084);辽宁省重点研发计划/ Key Research & Development Project in Liaoning Province(2020JH2/10100042)。
摘    要:为准确预测高速公路交通流,缓解高速公路交通拥堵现象,本文提出一种考虑多特征的高速公路交通流预测模型.首先将高速公路当前道路与上下游的交通流、天气等数据转化为一个二维矩阵,并利用滑动窗口模型获得输入样本的最佳长度;然后将样本数据输入集成深度学习模型训练并提取交通流数据的特征,随后输出预测结果;最后,将某高速公路交通流数据...

关 键 词:公路运输  交通流预测  深度学习  高速公路  交通拥堵
收稿时间:2021-03-17

Highway Traffic Flow Prediction Model with Multi-features
LI Tao-ying,WANG Ting,ZHANG Yu-qi.Highway Traffic Flow Prediction Model with Multi-features[J].Transportation Systems Engineering and Information,2021,21(3):101-111.
Authors:LI Tao-ying  WANG Ting  ZHANG Yu-qi
Institution:School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, Liaoning, China
Abstract:In order to accurately predict highway traffic flow and thus alleviate traffic congestion of highway, a highway traffic flow prediction model with multi- features is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the traffic flow of the section with the upstream and downstream sections, and the weather data are transformed into a two-dimensional matrix, and the sliding window model is employed to obtain the optimal size of input samples. Then these samples are input into a hybrid depth deep learning model to extract the features of traffic flow data, and then output the prediction results. Finally, the traffic flow data of a real highway is used to do two experiments on weekdays and holidays. The results indicate that the hybrid deep learning models perform better results than single models for forecasting highway traffic flow. The prediction accuracy of highway traffic flow on weekdays is higher than that on holidays. The proposed model reduces the mean absolute error from 6.40 Cars · (20 min)- 1 to 5.450 Cars · (20 min)- 1 , which shows that the prediction accuracy of highway traffic flow can be improved by considering multiple related factors.
Keywords:highway transportation  traffic flow prediction  deep learning  highway  traffic congestion  
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