跑道着陆容量的数学模型及其分析

认为影响到达时间间隔的因素大部分是随机变量，因此必须采用概率论的方法建立机场跑道运行容量模型．从管制员的工作角度出发，建立了单跑道着陆概率容量分析模型．该模型以实际统计数据为依据，考虑了进近速度、位置不确定性、风速、跑道占用时间和机型组合等随机变量的影响．此外，给出了1个算例．计算结果表明，跑道占用时间和间距标准对着陆容量的影响最大，其它参数的影响则相对较小．

Mathematical Model and Analysis of Runway Landing Capacity

It is believed that most of parameters influencing the interarrival time of landing are random variables, so the setting up of a runway landing capacity model must be based on probability theory. From the viewpoint of a controller, a probability model of runway landing capacity was proposed. In this model, the effects of approach speed, position uncertainty, wind speed, runway occupation time and traffic mix on runway landing capacity were sufficiently considered and actual statistic data were its basis. In addition, a calculation example was given. The calculated result shows that runway occupation time and separation time standard influence greatly runway landing capacity and the effects of the other parameters are relatively small.