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A traffic accident morphology diagnostic model based on a rough set decision tree
Authors:Gang Tao  Huansheng Song  Jun Liu  Jiao Zou
Institution:1. School of Information Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an, People’s Republic of China;2. Anhui Keli Information Industry Co. Ltd., Hefei, People’s Republic of China;3. Key Lab of Urban ITS Technology Optimization and Integration, Ministry of Public Security, Hefei, People’s Republic of China;4. Anhui Keli Information Industry Co. Ltd., Hefei, People’s Republic of China
Abstract:ABSTRACT

To build a traffic safety feature model and to quantify accident influences caused by some traffic violation behaviors of drivers, an accident diagnostic decision-making model is established. For the purpose of diagnosing accident morphologies, rough set theory is applied and the influence of traffic factors of different accident morphologies is quantified through calculating the degree of attribute importance, selecting core traffic factors and adopting a C4.5 decision tree algorithm. In the paper, road traffic accident data from 2008 to 2013 in Anhui Province are used. Typical rules are selected, targeted strategy proposals are put forward, and then, a scientific and reasonable diagnostic basis is provided for the diagnosis of traffic safety risks and the prediction of potential traffic accidents.
Keywords:Traffic accidents  rough set  decision tree algorithm  C4  5  accident morphology  decision diagnosis
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