| 交通基础设施建设与经济发展的Granger因果关系 |
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| 引用本文： | 温惠英,沈毅贤.交通基础设施建设与经济发展的Granger因果关系[J].交通科技与经济,2008,10(2):82-84. |
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| 作者姓名： | 温惠英 沈毅贤 |
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| 作者单位： | 华南理工大学,交通学院,广东,广州,510640 |
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| 摘 要： | 交通运输是经济现代化的重要标志，也是社会、地区发展的先决条件。交通基础设施建设，是交通运输发展的重要支撑和保障，要正确制定交通基础设施建设的投资策略，必须明确交通基础设施建设与经济发展的关系，但目前两者的关系仍缺乏确切论证。在统计分析的基础上，通过采用Granger关系检验模型，检验我国5种运输方式的交通基础设施建设和经济发展之间的因果关系，得到各交通运输方式的基础设施建设对经济发展的影响程度。
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| 关 键 词： | 交通基础设施建设 GDP 因果关系检验 协整关系检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-5696(2008)02-0082-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年11月9日 |
Granger Causality Analysis on the Economy and Transportation Infrastructure Construction |
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| WEN Hui-ying,SHEN Yi-xian.Granger Causality Analysis on the Economy and Transportation Infrastructure Construction[J].Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications,2008,10(2):82-84. |
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| Authors: | WEN Hui-ying SHEN Yi-xian |
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| Institution: | (Transportation Institute, South China University of Techology, Guangzhou 510640,China) |
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| Abstract: | Transportation plays an important role in modern economy and the social development.Transportation infrastructure construction supports the transportation system.In order to make the right invest strategy,we must nail down the relationship between transportation infrastructure construction and economy growth.On the basic of statistic,the paper applies Granger causality test to investigate the relationship between the five mode of transportation infrastructure construction and economic growth in China.The conclusion indicates the affect degree between them. |
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| Keywords: | transportation basic facility building GDP causality test coordinate test |
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