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基于Matlab仿真的公交系统运行时间可靠性评价方法
引用本文:陆奇志,艾力·斯木吐拉. 基于Matlab仿真的公交系统运行时间可靠性评价方法[J]. 城市交通, 2006, 4(4): 70-75
作者姓名:陆奇志  艾力·斯木吐拉
作者单位:新疆农业大学机械交通学院,乌鲁木齐,830052;新疆农业大学机械交通学院,乌鲁木齐,830052
基金项目:国家留学基金委员会资助项目(编号:教外司留[2004]527号)。
摘    要:从公交系统发车时间可靠性,途中运行时间可靠性及出行者出行时刻、等待时间、途中乘运时间、到达终点的时间调查入手,通过对出行过程的分析,建立出行者在运行时间可靠性水平不同的3条公交线路之间的出行时间分布模型。利用此模型,对出行者在3条公交线路之间的换乘过程中,多种不同公共交通服务水平对出行者的影响进行仿真。对公交系统运行时间可靠性问题进行了分析探讨,提出了一套基于Matlab仿真技术的公共交通系统运行时间可靠性分析和评价方法,并应用所建模型进行公交系统运行时间的可靠性评价。

关 键 词:公交系统  运行时间  可靠性  延误  Matlab仿真  评价方法
文章编号:1672-5328(2006)04-0070-06
收稿时间:2005-09-15
修稿时间:2005-09-15

A Matlab Simulation Method for Evaluation of Travel Time Reliability of Public Transportation System
LU Qizhi,Eli Ismutulla. A Matlab Simulation Method for Evaluation of Travel Time Reliability of Public Transportation System[J]. Urban Transport of China, 2006, 4(4): 70-75
Authors:LU Qizhi  Eli Ismutulla
Abstract:Based on the investigation of departure time reliability of transport system and travel time reliability and passenger start time and waiting time and carried time and arrival final destination time, the analysis began with an assumed personal journey, this study has set up a mode which contains the interchange journeys via different distributing modes of public transport. Apply the mode to simulate the impacts of departure time reliability of public transport services on arrival lateness, which contains three sections public transports are carefully analysis and discussed. A simulation method for analysis and evaluation of operation time reliability of transport system on Matlab is introduced. Furthermore, according to the simulation method carries out evaluation operation time reliability of transport system.
Keywords:public transportation system  running time  reliability  lateness  Matlab simulation  evaluation method  
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