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| 不确定型层次分析法在航道通航环境风险评估中的应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 王则胜,金永兴,朱中华.不确定型层次分析法在航道通航环境风险评估中的应用[J].中国航海,2007(3):57-60. |
| 作者姓名： | 王则胜 金永兴 朱中华 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 镇江船艇学院,江苏,镇江,212003;上海海事大学,商船学院,上海,200135 2. 上海海事大学,商船学院,上海,200135 3. 镇江船艇学院,江苏,镇江,212003 |
| 基金项目： | 上海市重点学科建设项目 |
| 摘 要： | 针对航道通航环境评估指标的复杂性、模糊性和不确定性,引入不确定层次分析法AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process),以区间数代替确定值对两因素之间的相对重要性做出判断,建立区间数判断矩阵,利用概率分布法对各最底层元素关于目标层的总组合权重进行排序。实例分析结果表明该方法具有实用性,能够反映航道通航安全的实际状态。 |
| 关 键 词： | 水路运输 航道 安全评估 层次分析法 区间数判断矩阵 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-4653（2007）03-0057-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-06-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年6月4日 |
Sea-route Navigation Environment Risk Evaluation Based on Uncertainty AHP |
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| WANG Ze-sheng,JIN Yong-xing,ZHU Zhong-hua.Sea-route Navigation Environment Risk Evaluation Based on Uncertainty AHP[J].Navigation of China,2007(3):57-60. | |
| Authors: | WANG Ze-sheng JIN Yong-xing ZHU Zhong-hua |
| Institution: | 1. Zhenjiang Watercraft College of PLA, Zhenjiang 212003, China; 2. Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 200135, China |
| Abstract: | Due tothe inherentlyfuzzy and uncertain characterist of the evaluationfactors,this paper proposesto apply uncertainty AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) into risk evaluation of sea-route navigation environment.Interval number rather than a specific valueis introduced to judge the weightiness between two factors,then Interval judgment matrix is constructed and probability distribution methodis utilizedtoinvestigate the ordering of chief combination weight of target layer based on factors of the lowest layer.The experiment results shows the method can be utilized to achieve the actual safety level of sea-route navigation environment. |
| Keywords: | Waterway transportation Sea-route Risk evaluation Analytic hierarchy process Interval judgment matrix |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |