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隧拱变形分析的自回归与分段回归方法应用
引用本文:曾山,徐兮.隧拱变形分析的自回归与分段回归方法应用[J].重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版),2013,32(3):442-445.
作者姓名:曾山  徐兮
作者单位:1. 重庆育才工程咨询监理有限公司,重庆400074;港珠澳大桥管理局,广东珠海519000
2. 重庆交通大学,重庆,400074
摘    要:土建工程变形分析与预测,有赖于数理统计理论方法的支持。应用自回归理论和分段回归两种理论方法,实施隧拱沉降监控,结果表明:自回归理论宜于进行工程安全质量预测预报时使用,而分段回归方法能够准确、即时诠释监测对象的变形规律的变化,同样具备实用意义。

关 键 词:自回归  分段回归  隧道

Application of Auto-Regression and Subsection-Regression Method in Tunnel Deformation Analysis
Zeng Shan , Xu Xi.Application of Auto-Regression and Subsection-Regression Method in Tunnel Deformation Analysis[J].Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University,2013,32(3):442-445.
Authors:Zeng Shan  Xu Xi
Institution:1.Chongqing Yucai Project Consultation Supervision Limited Company,Chongqing 400074,China; 2.Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge Authority,Zhuhai 519000,Guangdong,China; 3.Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing 400074,China)
Abstract:Forecast and analysis of the civil engineering deformation rely on the mathematical statistics theory.The tunnel subsidence is monitored by applying auto-regression and subsection-regression theoretical methods.The results show that the auto-regression theory is suitable for the project safety and quality forecast;the subsection-regression method could describe the deformation rule of the monitoring object.The auto-regression and subsection-regression method are practical in tunnel deformation monitoring.
Keywords:auto-regression  subsection-regression  tunnel
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