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| 公路客运短期运量预测研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 姚新胜,苏延川,孙金玲.公路客运短期运量预测研究[J].公路交通科技,2005,22(11):155-158. |
| 作者姓名： | 姚新胜 苏延川 孙金玲 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 河南农业大学机电工程学院,河南,郑州,450002 2. 成都市交通局信息中心,四川,成都,610041 3. 国家智能交通系统工程技术研究中心,北京,100088 |
| 基金项目： | 十五国家科技攻关项目专题（2001BA402A04-KHKZ0013） |
| 摘 要： | 科学有效地预测公路客运量对于公路客运的管理和决策具有重要意义。本文结合实际应用,基于客运量中短期变化规律的分析,对公路客运量短期预测方法进行研究,给出了预测系统的总体结构和预测算法,以协助运力配置、运力调拨,进而实现运力运量的平衡。 |
| 关 键 词： | 公路旅客运输 运量预测 短期预测 运力调控 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-0268(2005)11-0155-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2004-08-26 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年8月26日 |
Study on Short-term Highway Passage Transport Forecast |
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| YAO Xin-sheng,SU Yan-chuan,SUN Jin-ling.Study on Short-term Highway Passage Transport Forecast[J].Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development,2005,22(11):155-158. | |
| Authors: | YAO Xin-sheng SU Yan-chuan SUN Jin-ling |
| Institution: | 1.College of Mechanical Electronic Engine;ring, Henan Agricultural University, Henan Zhengzhou 450002, China; 2.Traffic Information Center, Chengdu Traffic Bureau, Sichuan Chengdu 610041, China; 3.National Centre of ITS Engineering and Technology, Beijing 100088, China |
| Abstract: | Effective and scientific traffic volume forecast is important for decision and management for highway passenger transport.By the trend analysis of short period passenger transport volume,the forecast method of highway passenger transport volume of short period is studied,the main structure and forecast algorithm are given,to assist the allocation,the modification,the control of the transport capability,to balance the transport demand and the supply. |
| Keywords: | Highway passenger transport Volume forecast Short-term forecast Transport capacity control |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |