| 北京市地铁5号线天通苑地区停车换乘需求预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 李媛,张秀媛.北京市地铁5号线天通苑地区停车换乘需求预测[J].城市交通,2010,8(5):57-64. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李媛 张秀媛 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京,100044;北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京,100044 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对北京市地铁5号线天通苑北站P＋R停车场规模与实际停车换乘需求不匹配的问题,研究确定其停车换乘需求的预测方法,并提出解决停车设施供给不足的方案。在分析天通苑地区P＋R停车场时间、车辆来源及设施供给情况的基础上,建立Logit随机均衡交通方式选择模型,得到该地区高峰小时停车换乘需求量为1476个泊位。同时,将预测结果与天通苑北站P＋R停车场实际可扩展停车规模进行比较,提出在瓶颈路段设置新的P＋R停车场的方案,并建立了系统优化平衡模型,对该地区的停车换乘需求进行分配。结果表明,新建P＋R停车场规模分别为300,400,500和600个泊位的条件下,停车换乘需求基本按照两个停车场的规模比例分配停车数量。
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| 关 键 词： | 交通规划 静态交通 停车换乘需求 Logit模型 停车换乘需求分配 |
Park & Ride Demand Forecasting at Tiantongyuan Area along Beijing Subway Line Five |
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| LI Yuan,ZHANG Xiu-yuan.Park & Ride Demand Forecasting at Tiantongyuan Area along Beijing Subway Line Five[J].Urban Transport of China,2010,8(5):57-64. |
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| Authors: | LI Yuan ZHANG Xiu-yuan |
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| Institution: | LI Yuan,ZHANG Xiu-yuan(School of Traffic and Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China) |
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| Abstract: | Concerning the unbalanced demand and supply of Park & Ride facilities at Tiantongyuan North Station along Line Five of Beijing Subway,this paper investigates how to estimate the demand for Park & Ride facilities at the station and how to solve the problem of insufficient parking space.By analyzing the parking time,the origin of Park & Ride vehicles and facilities supply at Tiantongyuan area,the paper applies a Logit model to estimate a peak hour demand of 1476 vehicles for Park & Ride facilities within the ... |
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| Keywords: | transportation planning static transportation Park & Ride demand Logit model Park & Ride demand assignment |
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